Choose on purchases, not clicks
Calculating experiment results…
The outcome that matters: completed purchases
Rates use each version’s total purchases divided by its total recorded visitors—not an average of daily percentages. The chart shows the estimated rate and an approximate 95% interval for each version.
| Version | Visitors | Purchases | Purchase rate | Versus A | 95% interval for difference | Adjusted p |
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Differences are in percentage points (pp). Intervals and p-values are illustrative, visitor-level binomial calculations; see the inference limitation below. Adjusted p-values use Holm’s correction for the seven comparisons with A. A small p-value does not establish a business-worthy gain.
Where the journey changes
These are conditional funnel rates. More clicks are not necessarily more buyers.
Click = clicks / visitors; cart = add-to-cart / clicks; checkout = purchases / add-to-cart. Later-stage comparisons involve different, self-selected sets of people and are diagnostic, not separate causal effects.
Across the ten weeks
Weekly purchase rates for A, C and F, calculated from each week’s totals. This checks whether the overall result is confined to a short period.
What to do next
- Use purchases per assigned visitor as the launch criterion. A click is an intermediate action; do not ship C solely because its call-to-action attracts attention.
- Validate the unit of measurement before a full rollout. Assignment is sticky to a visitor, but the supplied file counts visitors separately each day. If someone appears on multiple days, summed “visitors” are not unique randomized people. Recalculate using one record per assigned visitor, with a fixed purchase-attribution window, and check for duplicate or delayed purchases.
- Check business guardrails. This file has no order value, margin, returns, or customer-quality data. Confirm that any purchase gain also improves value and does not harm those measures.
- If those checks pass, ramp F gradually while monitoring purchase rate and guardrails against a retained A holdout. Treat this as a decision on the combined F page, not proof that its layout, copy, or call-to-action individually caused the change.
Source: supplied daily experiment CSV. All charts, totals, and comparisons below are computed locally from the embedded data; no network access is required. A–H received approximately equal traffic. Observational funnel-stage rates are not adjusted for multiple testing.